AmSouth / Regions merger analysis

Per my friend’s request, here’s data from my research and my personal opinions regarding the AmSouth (ASO) /Regions (RF) merger.

Data:

  • Combination of both firms (Regions)
    • 37,000+ employee, however up to 10% of positions duplicated; no official job loss numbers announced
    • “Both RF and ASO have poor track records of achieving targeted merger integration synergies in a timely manner”
    • Jackson W. Moore, RF chairman, president and CEO will serve as chairman of the board
    • C. Dowd Ritter, chairman, president and CEO of ASO will serve as president and CEO
    • Transaction announced in May, approved by shareholders in October, to be closed in November
  • RF:
    • Strong 3Q earnings due to:
      • Cost control (layoffs a factor)
      • Better credit quality
      • Lower loan loss provisions
      • higher spread income
      • Weaker fee income
    • $150M cost savings in 07;$350M in 08 (achieves full run-rate)
    • Divesting 52 branches
    • Recent (Oct.) Neutral/Buy ratings upgrade by Lehman, Banc of America, Punk Ziegel, Friedman Billings Ramsey
    • Volatility risk: low
  • ASO
    • Declared dividends in July
    • Announced share repurchase in April to be used for merger announced in May
    • Buy upgrade, raising target price: Friedman Billings Ramsey, Ryan Beck, Punk Ziegel
    • Sell/equalweight downgrade: Sandler O`Neill, Morgan Stanley
  • AmSouth/Regions Consolidated Balance Sheet
  • AmSouth/Regions Consolidated Income Statement

Conclusion:

  • Not so much a “merger”, but more of an acquisition as RF is absorbing ASO and keeping its name
  • Less merger synergies than expected
  • Main reason for merger: cost savings, larger economy of scale
  • No foreseeable growth in 07
  • Upgraded ratings due to financial sector’s strong performance during economic slowdowns, not long-term
  • ASO will most likely go through a significant culture change when adapting RF’s identity. This has happened numerous times historically within the financial sector. For example Wachovia & First Union’s merger; although First Union was the lager firm, Wachovia had better reputation and its identity was retained.

If you are reading this and are a manager, you may want to check out the Managing During Mergers and Acquisitions podcast (part 1, part 2) from Manager Tools.

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